Does your congressional district look like a melted fish hook? Are House election results polarized beyond belief across your state, while races remain competitive at the federal and Senate level? If it walks like corruptions and talks like corruption, it might just be a case of gerrymandering -- the process of redrawing Congressional district maps to insure that a given party has overrepresentation in the House, while the other has little -- and new analysis of the 2016 election shows that the issue is miles from being resolved.
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"The gerrymanders of this decade have stuck. Even in years where Democrats have had a good cycle… seats aren't flipping hands," Michael Li, Senior Counsel for the Democracy Program at the Brennan Center for Justice and co-author of the Center's Extreme Maps project told VICE Impact. "In the past, you would try to do these gerrymanders and at some point there would be a wave election and you'd lose some districts," Li said. "This didn't happen [in 2016], and that suggests that the gerrymandering techniques are getting that much better."And these results aren't going unnoticed. Politicians from across the political spectrum, like Bernie Sanders to John McCain to Arnold Schwarzenegger, have called for court action against gerrymandering, and citizen coalitions in states including Colorado, Missouri, and South Dakota have put forward ballot initiatives and constitutional amendments to end unfair district mapping in their states once and for all."I think a lot of people are starting to understand that this is really pernicious and it's sort of undermining democracy at a pretty basic level. It's essentially rendering elections meaningless, it's helping to fuel the dysfunction that exists in our government," Li said. "There's a pretty persuasive case made that at least the most extreme types of gerrymandering need to be policed and there's hope that the courts will finally do something there."
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While court decisions and ballot initiatives pend, here are five states that make it insanely clear that gerrymandering is a real and pervasive attack on our democratic system.
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Pennsylvania
- Current House seat split: 13 Republican, 5 Democrat
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North Carolina
- Current House seat split: 10 Republican, 3 Democrat
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This ruling was upheld by the Supreme Court in May, affirming a call for state Republicans to issue a new, fairer map. Now, a federal court is ruling that nine of the state districts proposed under the new map are still unconstitutional. The courts have gone so far as to appoint a Stanford law professor to evaluate the districts, and even redraw them if necessary.Both the original congressional map passed in 2011 and the redrawn map from 2016 favor Republicans by about 20 percent. The efficiency gap, which measures the number of wasted votes between two parties, and may suggest cause for concern if one party wastes far more votes than the other, comes out to 2.56 seats in favor of Republicans for North Carolina, which is the second highest gap in the nation, second only to Pennsylvania according to the Brennan Center.The Princeton Gerrymandering Project gives North Carolina a measly 0.28 percent chance of coming into their current House split by nonpartisan means alone.
Michigan
- House seat split: 9 Republican, 5 Democrat
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Grassroots group Voters Not Politicians have been collecting signatures since August to get an anti-gerrymandering initiative on the 2018 ballot. The initiative includes an amendment to the state constitution and the creation of an Independent Citizen's Redistricting Commission. It will need 315,654 signatures to warrant a vote. The petition can't be signed online, but registered voter in Michigan can find a signing event nearby through Voters Not Politicians' petition calendar.
Wisconsin
- Current House seat split: 5 Republican, 3 Democrat
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Princeton gives Wisconsin a 2.6 percent chance of achieving this difference through nonpartisan processes alone.
Ohio
- Current House seat split: 12 Republican,4 Democrat